Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1021.467336 1163.827977 1324.405664 1520.045532 1753.442013 2024.805120 2366.881908
2025-04-27 809.142912 992.287898 1219.361613 1526.006723 1936.197166 2476.173981 3258.419959
2025-05-04 710.284322 911.486289 1176.198954 1558.381403 2110.607068 2903.775772 4176.806276
2025-05-11 636.935287 847.322635 1137.631845 1580.474285 2263.480562 3322.027492 5186.491026
2025-05-18 593.115017 814.476936 1133.180530 1644.291613 2481.996360 3878.516040 6576.434927
2025-05-25 546.694508 770.542537 1104.360457 1662.796764 2627.283033 4342.258669 7947.894759
2025-06-01 501.875365 722.985193 1062.661673 1651.858570 2717.133733 4723.766424 9285.221986
2025-06-08 463.791844 681.210438 1024.211589 1639.043840 2798.583756 5104.649368 10759.229150
2025-06-15 440.073014 659.264902 1014.610838 1673.672920 2973.238834 5713.556478 13023.168950
2025-06-22 403.847253 613.541165 960.167477 1619.099862 2961.533729 5918.778633 14334.594141
2025-06-29 373.669542 575.156387 914.333197 1574.287054 2961.414280 6149.671588 15826.859308
2025-07-06 346.599973 539.782513 870.360721 1527.346087 2948.437906 6346.910426 17318.157483
2025-07-13 335.327326 531.467166 875.491225 1581.548276 3177.803581 7240.359960 21731.842603
2025-07-20 319.174789 513.436505 861.403956 1595.627509 3321.031698 7963.750996 26131.592402
2025-07-27 307.017488 501.309444 856.803654 1628.458852 3516.037579 8903.712965 32245.223812
2025-08-03 294.831818 488.049494 848.570306 1652.064089 3693.479648 9861.817208 39459.938785
2025-08-10 288.353528 484.708694 859.260755 1719.509247 4003.123931 11384.661607 51570.983148
2025-08-17 277.409035 472.037013 849.901983 1739.094890 4185.961014 12555.433807 63455.628914
2025-08-24 264.390362 454.409717 828.726404 1727.521068 4276.736264 13429.592543 74871.554134
2025-08-31 252.253972 437.638245 807.851975 1713.965070 4359.528238 14318.664824 88205.068056
2025-09-07 245.340668 430.627887 807.003645 1750.601441 4609.040561 16050.810298 113257.975002
2025-09-14 231.215091 408.310812 771.274644 1692.870063 4540.118678 16323.513465 124399.878907
2025-09-21 218.936645 389.012606 740.758061 1645.484842 4497.589452 16717.030689 138357.500775